Posted on Leave a comment

Energy June 28 (VLO XOM MMP SUN RDSA E KMI BP TOT CVX /CL)

Portfolio

Utilities June 14 NRG DUK DTE MSEX BEP NOVA AES IDA AWK RSG

So we got NRG, which is, I mean, if remember…

Keep reading

Basic Materials June 14 (SMG ECL LYB DD DOW BASFY RIO IP MOS SHW)

basic materials. Scott’s miracle grow. This has been in the…

Keep reading

Financials June 14 (FAS KKR BAC SCHW BLK TROW GS BX NTRS CME)

All right with financials. We’ll start with CME. Now. Most…

Keep reading

Energy June 14 (VLO XOM MMP SUN RDSA E KMI BP TOT CVX /CL)

All right. For our first energy stock, we have Valero…

Keep reading

Utilities June 6 Nova AWK RSG BEP IDA AES DUK MSEX DTE NRG

Okay for utilities. Our first stock is a Nova, which…

Keep reading

June 6 Basic Materials (ECL RIO SHW IP DD BASFY SMG DOW LYB MOS)

Basic materials. We have Ecolab Ecolab looks like we’re finally…

Keep reading

Energy June 6 (CVX MMP XOM E KMI TOT RDSA VLO SUN BP)

About this further, last few weeks, Months, whatever it is.…

Keep reading

June 6 Financials (BLK TROW GS BX FAS CME BAC KKR SCHW NTRS)

Financials. Well, I call banking, but whatever financials are, first…

Keep reading

Healthcare June 6 (MRNA GILD AZN MRK PFE ABBV BMY JNJ SRPT UNH)

We’re talking healthcare right now. Madame took off look at…

Keep reading

May 31 Energy CVX MMP SUN KMI TOT BP E XOM RDS VLO

We have energy If we look at oil, if you’ve…

Keep reading

Basic materials May 31 SMG BASF MOS DD DOW RIO IP LYB ECL SHW

Basic materials. Scott’s miracle grow One, two, three, four, five,…

Keep reading

May 31 Financials (GS TROW CME BLK BX FAS SCHW KKR BAC NTRS)

Excuse me. We start with financials. Look, this is Goldman…

Keep reading

May 31 Utilities AWK MSEX IDA DUK RSG NOVA AES DTE NRG BEP

We have American water, which is basically right up to…

Keep reading

Healthcare May 31 MRNA ABBV JNJ GILD PFE BMY MRK AZN UNH SRPT

Or excuse me for healthcare first, go over Minera or…

Keep reading

May 23 Utilities (AWK DUK DTE BEP IDA RSG AES NOVA MSWX NRG)

Video, we’ll go over utilities. This is  AWK American water.…

Keep reading

Energy May 23 (CVX SUN VLO TOT RDSA E XOM KMI BP MMP)

Energy, if will, same story kind of washing the repeat…

Keep reading

Basic Materials May 23 (LYB IP DOW SHW MOS DD BASF ECL RIO SMG)

Basic materials. Let’s go ahead and get into our accounts.…

Keep reading

Financials May 23 (BLK GS FAS TROW CME NTRS BX SCHW BAC KKR)

The banking sector or, you know, finance financials. We got…

Keep reading

Healthcare May 23 (UNH BMY AZN JNJ PFE MRK GILD SRPT ABBV MRNA)

All right. We got healthcare. Well, dare does. This is…

Keep reading

Utilities May 16 (NOVA, BEP, AES, DTE, AWK, MSEX, NRG, DUK, IDA)

Go over today is the utilities list. Now last week…

Keep reading

Energy May 16 (VLO, CVX, TOT, XOM, RDS/A, BP MMP, E, KMI, SUN)

Let’s first start with oil. Now We’re going 10 years,…

Keep reading

Loading…

Something went wrong. Please refresh the page and/or try again.

Posted on Leave a comment

Financials June 28 BLK GS FAS CME NTRS TROW SCHW BAC KKR BX

Portfolio

Posted on Leave a comment

Utilities June 14 NRG DUK DTE MSEX BEP NOVA AES IDA AWK RSG

So we got NRG, which is, I mean, if remember we, we drew these lines as pressure points and out of nowhere, boom took off. Let’s look at the options on this one, the 40 coming up this week. Yeah. Yeah. I see it. Cause if we break out of the 39, well, first off let’s count five days, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. So we’re at 34. So it’s a three,

9% gain.

A diaper set gate gets us to 40, 62. So is it in the works? Yes. Per to pay 22 cents for it? You’re better off paying 25 cents for a 39.

It’s just cheaper For a dollar you’re saving or you’re spending 3 cents. Well, two and a half cents really, but you’re gaining a whole dollar. It’s that, that one makes more sense right there. If you believe NRG is about to take off a little bit higher, if you don’t then don’t, but again, for the little quick gamble, $20, it’s more expensive than oil, but it’s still not really expensive for a potential turning into a, a dollar 25. If that makes sense. Hope you caught me. So that’s five X give or take duke energy frustrated me a little bit, but if you see it, it looks poised to break above that. One-On-One 91. So let’s come over here. Let’s see. Yes. He look at this, the 1 10, 1 10.

So people are banking that it’s going to break to here and beat the breakout of this number that it did twice. That would be what that is a lot for two and a half pennies. That’s a lot, that’s a big number right there for duke energy. That’s I mean, that’s, I mean, it’s not, it’s not costing a lot, but for someone to just put 13,000 contracts on something, let’s see. Well, that, that is a lot because each of that’s $2 per contract and there’s 13,000 of them. So if someone’s betting $26,000 on that and the one right above, we’re looking at 5,000 times seven, so that’s even more money. So it doesn’t look like a lot, but in all actuality, that’s let’s bank on that’s 5,000 times seven. Yeah. $35,000 banking on that. So 35 plus what did I say? 26. So there’s like 50, $60,000 banking. Then it’s about the break out break above, even in the, in the July option exploration, the 1 0 5 has a little bit of money in it. I mean, I gotta try it. It’s it’s $2 and 50 cents, maybe $5. Somewhat. If people are going to put that much money behind it, I don’t see why not. You might as well go for the 1 0 5 because it’s only 7 cents. I mean, well, it’s three times more. So that’s why I understand why they put a lot of the thirteens out there, but duke that’s a lot of contracts, a whole heap load of them.

I liked him. Is this fun? Isn’t enjoyable. All right. Let’s check out D T E. Okay.

All of our utility and oil stocks should be going higher just for the simple fact. It’s mostly commodity based M D T E 1 38. Looks like we found some support right at right at right before bounce or, you know the break right here. We have 1, 2, 3, 4 touches right there. That’s that is, it had the opportunity to go down, but then shot up $2 at the end. Ended on a high that looks pretty promising. There is absolutely no option action at all. Nothing. yeah. And you’re going to pay pretty much for 40 fives. You’re paying extrinsic value, 40 cents $40 for that. The risk reward. Isn’t really there. I don’t see it. I like it. Don’t get me wrong. I like it. I just don’t see. It’s difficult to, to profit right there. Middlesex is another one bounced. Perfect. Let’s see. Do we see any,

Okay. Yeah, there is nothing, no volume. Yeah. No. It looks great, but there’s there’s as you see, there’s nothing. I actually, this makes a lot of sense too, because I keep having, I have Middlesex, I bought an auction, which was pretty stupid for this one reason. You see how the extrinsic values at $2 and 50 cents? Well, that’s obviously fake because I have been trying to sell my option for Middlesex water for what about a week and a half at 5 cents. And it will not sell. There is nobody here. Nobody wants there’s no one interested. So buyer beware,

Brookfield energy or renewing we’re partners. This looks pretty good. Went from 30. Let’s see as 18% gain. Wow. How many days let’s go back. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. Let’s just check these five days. What can they do in a, in a week, 15% in a week? 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. So let’s see the bottom to the top. That was a 3%. So a 4% gain, 4% gets us to 41. I see. At least we got a little bit of action in here. Not much, but a little bit of action for the forties and for the look at it’s the 40 fives, we got 5 cents out there. I don’t really, I see 41. That’s what we looked at all. Like I said, this is, this is a week two. So 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. It has the potential to pop up 15%. So 15% Brings us to 45 give or take. So 45. It has the potential. It’s kind of like money away. I’m not gonna lie. You’re better off just spending 12 more dollars and go for the 40 fives one month out. If that’s what you want to do, which would make more sense, honestly trying to play it like that to 40 fives. Give it a whole month. And then if you catch this, you’re good. But 18% in four days, I don’t see it. Eh. Hmm. Well, let’s look next week. There’s always next week, right?

Sorry about that. That was probably dizzy supernova or Senova yeah, it looks, yeah. I mean, it’s changed direction. It’s on it’s upward trajectory. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 whoa. That’s 22%.

22%

Ladies and gentlemen,

And it is really cheap. The implied volatility is, is way up there. No, that’s not cheap at all. You’re spending a lot. You’re spending a lot, but look at the deal. They’re starting. The July’s are starting to kind of cake in, but there’s no, like there’s nothing out there. That’s like, whoa, you know what I mean? Like the forties. Yeah. It’s just nice. Cause it’s cheap, but I don’t see any huge, huge money there. A E S I like it. I like it a lot. Let’s check out the options. See, see what I’m saying? See what I’m saying. This is a little bit different. Now we got 7,000. We got 15,000 contracts all within best banking on the 27th. That’s some numbers I like to see right up to here to 27. I like those numbers. There’s a lot of money out there that’s doing for that even 700 all the way up to the 28. That’s a little bit more interesting. All right. That’s that is $14,000 Invested on 27. I don’t know. Maybe $14,000 is nothing to you, but $14,000 is a good amount of money for me, just to bet on something. Right. Then we got another one right here, which would be $1,400 on a 28. But then the big numbers right here, 7,000 contracts, right? So six, well, 600, 908, 7 times 25 cents. Oops, not 25 cents. It’s $25, 6, 9, 8, 7 times 25. So there’s 147,000, a hundred thousand little over 150, $40,000 banking. That is going to go past the 26th. That’s some decent money, right? Sure. Beats the Sonova where’s like maybe five, $300. Right? So that sparks my interest. A E S Of course, I’m going to go for the $2, right? I should go for the, the 25 cents. Right.

Kind of both. What? Pay $30. You get one of both and it’s almost impossible. It’s, it’s hard to argue. It’s not like it’s very expensive, right? So again, mind you, you don’t have to put up all the money. I’m just looking through it. This is just fun. Money. I D oh my goodness. Look at this. This is on a tear. 1, 2, 3, 4. Look at this in the last five days or four days, looking at 4% gain in four days. But no, but no, you guys see what I’m saying? There is nothing. There are no contracts, no one is trading Ida. Not at all. Nothing, nothing interesting. So that is very disappointing. Very disappointing because it looks beautiful. But no, I don’t think we have an edge, a Merican water. All right. Let’s see. We’re looking at the breakout over 1 62. Ah, yeah. Look at this. We got some action. Way more than a, the one we were just looking at, you know, Ida, Idaho court, whatever it is, had nothing. Here we go.

What? The 200? Yeah. This makes absolutely no sense. Why Would someone be banking, $1,200 on that? That doesn’t make any sense. It’s not enough to, for me to want to chase way that far. Right. That’s extremely far 200,

The one sec. Cause you’re talking way up here. There gotta be. They’d have to know something that nobody else knows. I don’t really see it. I see. Maybe in for that much money, why would you spend, okay. You’re spending $3 when you F you could just, you know, buy the seventies for 7 cents. So it just doesn’t make any sense to me. Right? So I, I would say this for 7 cents, right? 7 cents. That’s, that’s a decent little gamble, but that’s not there. I don’t know. I’m I’m not, I’m not convinced on that one Republic services. I enjoy this one. This looks great for me. Maybe not for options, but for, for stock or to buy, you know, credit spreads, you know, put credit spreads. That would probably work on the other ones as well. Yeah. See, you’re not getting any kind of action. There’s no action over here.

This is like sleep good night. Go to bed. It has no action. So again, follow the money. And we done, we found NRG duke and H E S R our winners today on speculative, whatever you want to call it. Erik, we’ll just call it Erik. Johnson’s looking for crazy interest or crazy volume or open interest. There we go. Now that sounded absolutely horrible. We have to work on that. If you have any suggestions on what we call this and let me know, but I hope you understand what I’m looking at right now. I’m gonna show you there is nothing right? Bore rain. Now let’s go to something that’s not boring, not boring. Right? Let’s go to another, not boring. One, not boring. Does that make sense? Go to a boring one. So you know what I’m saying? Boring. We’re looking at the open interest. Nothing snooze, no volume, nothing go to one. That’s not that a we’ll go to AEs. Boom. See? Interesting. All right. Have a great one.

Portfolio

Posted on Leave a comment

Basic Materials June 14 (SMG ECL LYB DD DOW BASFY RIO IP MOS SHW)

basic materials. Scott’s miracle grow. This has been in the dump in the garbage for quite some time. It would have been a beautiful short way back at 2 49. As you can see, that’s

Right around right here.

The big question is this, as you see last, what was it about two weeks ago? We had drone, we drew these lines to blue and right here as our crash point and it flew through at the 2 0 9 bound to the two. I mean, it’s only 10 points, so it’s not like that much, but we are getting to the point where we should get a nice little pop, which is right around this line right here, the 88 85 area. Might’ve already done it right here. So let’s keep an eye on Scott’s miracle grow as for a reversal to at least come back up to the 200, to even the 2 0 9. Since we know that was a pressure point, eco lab, not the sexiest of charts. We filled the gap back, you know, this, this downward gap right here, back on the 28th, had an opportunity for us to, to try to push to the tool seven, but it looks like the bulls decided to pick back up, because if you look right here we basically had a triple bottom. They had the opportunity to drop it right here. They did not. They had another opportunity to drop it right here and the bulls pretty much bought it up at the end of the day. Let’s Track it, looking out to maybe take out the two 30 it’s 15 points away. Well, 16 points away. Do I think it could do it in one week? No, I don’t think it’s going to do in one week, but our breakout of right here, the two 17 is within our scope. So if we break out of the two 17, let’s look for the 2 22, let me see something. Okay. We see anything extreme, open interest on the downside. Nothing. We have little right here, open interest on the upside. Look at that. The 2 30, 2400 contracts open at the two 30. They’re going for 5 cents right now.

Isn’t that kind of funny? So do I 110% think this is going to happen? Not at all, but the option market says there’s a lot of people out there that think that it could. There’s 2,400 contracts out there at the two 30 mark. So does it look like we could break out at, at the two 17? It does if this week, if it would be any other week, I would say maybe no, let’s see our open interests. You see, even our two or two 30 open interest just goes to nothing. Open interest is streamlined high right here. Even 300 contracts at the two 50. That’s higher than over here. I know this is exploration. Oh, this is, oh, they only trade monthly options. So that, that monthly expert that makes it even more interesting.

That makes it even more interesting money play. Okay. Sorry about that. Let’s get back to this. Hopefully that was interesting to you guys, as much as it was interesting to me that you have 2,400 contracts saying that it’s going to be right here for this open-ended for this con for this series, right? That is a massive amount. Since there’s even on the July expiration, there’s nowhere near close to 2,400. So could it pump the 15 points? Yes, it could. Del Bussau. Ooh, look at it. It is right at the number 1 0 9. Let’s see what the autonomic got me curious. Anything enormous that just doesn’t make any sense. See? No. See, see how the difference is. You see how there’s so many contracts on the downside. Like they’re hedging. The downside. There’s downside risk in here. It’s pretty much, I don’t see anything. That’s just ridiculous.

Now let’s go back to ECL and then you’ll see what I’m talking about. Do you see any downside? There’s there is like nothing over here. We got 600 contracts total. Oh, you know, maybe 700 and maybe 800 contracts total on that side right here. We got six. We’ve got 3000 contracts on the, on the, the bull side. You see how to see the difference? It’s like, there’s, I mean, there’s nothing, it tapers off there too, but there’s just a big, massive boom, 2,400 that eats up all the selling. And it’s just random. It’s all the way random, because we only have our two hundreds over here and we have a little bit more over there. I’m reading a book right now. I’m sorry. It’s a unusual option activity. All right. So that’s why I’m over here. Like, Ooh, Ooh. Let’s see if we can find something. So I’m sorry about that. Linden bus out. I would say, I mean, it’s kind of, I would say it’s that support, Right? Be careful There is no huge option, anything. So I wouldn’t just be careful, but it looks decent. It looks like a, it looks like it could it doesn’t look like it’s going to go to any lower. Of course it could. It’s had 1, 2, 3, 4 times that it’s been at this point it’s gone lower. So it could be knocking on the door, rolling over the 1 0 4. But to me, I would say, we’re going to try to test the, the one 18 deployment. Oh, I get, do you not like it? I don’t want to go through the options on every single one because I want to test it first. For the next few weeks I would probably test and I’ll go through a couple of them. Just anything that’s just like, no, see now, whatever, man. I’m just going to, this is weird. Look at all the how it’s all sporadic over here and sporadic over here. Nothing too.

I see. That’s that? I don’t see anything too, too specific. I mean there’s 3,700 contracts right there. And the nineties for this week, there are a thousand hours, but no Dell chemical. Yeah, it doesn’t look very good. However, that could be absolutely perfect. Let’s take out the 70 ones. Whoa. Look at this. So we have, let’s see 1, 2, 5, 9, 11,000 contracts give or take on the, on, up to here. I don’t see it going to 55 but 11,000 contracts compared to this one. Massive 14,000 contracts. I would say somebody, somebody probably is a button pretty big on that right now. 14,000 contracts at the 70 level of Dow chemical. That’s interesting. Let’s look at the, what is that? That is the Dow 70. The highest is 70 ones. Let’s look at the twos.

800 contracts. Then look, we’re getting an, even that we got 3,400 contracts at 75. I don’t see it going to 75. That’s massive, but 14,000 contracts at 70. So raise a little bit of, of a suspicion, I guess, at least at Ray Rosa enough suspicion in my book, Dow seventies, money and play. See it happened because they’re literally not even bidding us up for nothing. The seventies are what? 18 cents, 20 cents, you know, they’re right here. That’s absolutely nothing because all we need, we’re $2 out of the money. So we for, if we buy that, it needs to go to 72 20 and we were broke. We broke even, right. There’s only 19 cents of extrinsic value. That’s what I’m saying. It’s super cheap.

VASF we know it doesn’t train our options. It looks like crap. This is, this is a gapper all over the place. This, I don’t know. I don’t know why this is in here. Well, I do know because I liked the company, but I don’t like this. This is all over the place and we don’t even get any, do we don’t we don’t even have the opportunity for dividends or not dividends for options. Rio Tinto. Yeah. Be easy with this. This is an all the, as you see, look at this, we’re at 95, just a little bit ago and then went all the way to 94 or 84, 10 points. So 10 point like, and look at the gaps on here. You don’t want to be wrong, right? Just, just, you don’t want to be wrong with this cause that’s 11% drop in a day, but then look it over here. 3% gap in the morning. It’s all over the place. Let’s look for options. Yeah, man. I have no idea. Look at it. We got 11,000 on the downside. 6,000 upside that that’s just is too over all over the place for me. I want nothing to do with it. Although in the, the, the July expiration, we are tethered or skewed to the, to the long side, a little bit of 96.

Keep an eye on that for next week. Rio Tinto international paper.

Now this I like I do like it. Again, we can roll over to 61, but it looks to me like we want to beat or take out that 65. Let’s check out the options to see if it confirms cause the downside open injures anything over a thousand. No. So we got, I mean, this is, these are just way far out there. It was 20 points to the downside. I’m not going to count those even though a, it could go all the way there. It’s just not very much money bidding on that. So we’re looking at 1100, 1500, 2 grand by like 2,500, 6,000 contracts right here. That’s a decent amount. 1000 contracts. What are people betting on this 6,067 international paper this week 67. Let’s check it out.

That would bring us up to here. Let’s see. Does this dog have the capability to move 7%? Look at that three days it moves six and a half percent. So does it have the capability to get to this 6,000? And the answer is it does. So look at the craziness of the 6,000 with the breakout of the 65, 25. So the money play let’s see sell. My name was supposed to tell you, I was thinking I’m just supposed to look at the charts, but this is, I don’t know. Maybe it’s not interesting to you, but it’s interesting to me, the money play international paper, the money play, where was it?

67 50. Cause like these money plays. It’s just like, well, this is basically to me, it’s like gambling. So what for, if it’s, you know, I don’t know how it’s going to open in eight hours from now, but for 5 cents. So we’re talking $5 buy in 10 of them. You’re looking at a whopping 50 bucks. That’s that’s, that’s not huge money because literally you’re not. You’re risking. What is extrinsic value? Two and a half cents. So the Delta is 3 cents. So if every dollar this moves, you’re looking to make 3 cents. So if this Delta is changing, that’s weird over here.

All right. But okay. Where we are 3 cents per dollar movement. So if this goes, if this jumps let’s say look almost a dollar. So if it dumps a jumps, a dollar, let’s say a dollar and 20 cents or a dollar and 15 cents Monday. Cause don’t forget our, our data or our our theta. I don’t have it up here, but our Theta’s probably 3 cents too. So it’s going to have to move. It’s going to have to move. But the closer it gets to 67, which is only four points away, right? Four points away. We’re already in the money, right. 15 cents, which is more than what we’re paying for. We’re only paying five. So if it goes for $4 from here, we’re, we’re tripled our money. So I understand why they put 6,000 contracts because they can double their triple their money at 15 cents. That is, yeah.

I write mosaic. No, I don’t like it. I mean, for the, for the bull, eh, there could be a nice little argument for the bull. I’m not really quite sure. Let’s check out our numbers. Yeah. This is all over the place, man. Whoa. Look at that. 94,000 open interest at 40. Yeah. That trumps everything over here. Again, this is a gamble, but I know myself. I’m not going to remember this if, I mean, yeah, I’m going to pay attention, but it’s not that big of a deal unless I’m in it. And for 5 cents, it’s worth me going in it. It’s only $5. I mean, if you, if $5 is too much for you, then you know, maybe this isn’t for you, but for $5 to see what happens with 94th, 92,000 other people, why not money play.

And I need you guys to understand, I am not expecting these to work. That’s on the different videos on my, on the financials. Those were, are more apt to the, to, you know, go and these are money plays, which means that basically rolling the dice gambling.

Sherwin Williams. I like Sherwin Williams. This is a good, I feel this is a good entry place. Now it’s, it’s faked out Weiss here to roll back over here to roll back over. But at this point we actually stopped that some support. So instead of right here, this is kind of Willy nilly and the Nair, but we stopped at some support and we are within shooting range, 20 points, give or take of an, of a high, let me see something. Yeah. Basically have a three-year high. So that gives it a better example. So for 1, 2, 3, 4 weeks, we’d been paused for five weeks. We’ve been red, which is good because it needed, we needed some time to kind of cool off. So don’t forget because we have been on a massive tear since April, since three one where, you know, three for one split. So I mean, this is a beautiful stock. Don’t get me wrong. I like it. It’s just expensive. So be careful. See there’s no craziness.

Unsure it. Wouldn’t Williams. It’s all pretty basic. The 80 is a dollar 45. Yeah. If you were to bet on anything, I’d say that one. I would probably do the best for you right there. Sherwin 180 5. I mean, I mean, we’re basically have to break out this point right here in order for you to capitalize on that. And I want to do a calendar call. I’m sorry. We need to just solely look at the charts. Nothing else. I apologize. But yeah, if you, I like this one to come back and let’s test the high.

Portfolio